Anyone experienced in investing knows nothing is a sure thing in the short term. In the long-run, a broad-based ETF or index fund will almost assuredly make you money, but that is only when looking at a time frame of plus years. A prime example of this is General Electric. Nothing is certain in the stock market, but that is not the only place to invest your money. As I was perusing internet this summer looking for an article to read, I came across the most certain bets what I would call a They were found on predictit. PredictIt is a marketplace where you can bet on the outcome of political elections, world events, and other things. It was built by some researchers in New Zealand and gained a ton of popularity during the election cycle when Trump supporters made quite a bit of money after his victory.